The Four Most Dangerous Words In Investing Are “This Time It’s Different”

If this time is different and leading indicators are “broken”, why are so many big banks failing and why are earnings…

The Fed Does Not Control Money Supply Or Interest Rates

The Fed doesn’t even control the money supply, much less interest rates, the economy and financial markets, because…

This Is The Easiest Way To Double The S&P 500 Return

A much easier way to double the return of the S&P 500 than by investing in traditional individual stocks and ETFs is…

What Is The Connection Between Stocks And The Economy?

Overall stock market prices tend to lead turns in the economy by a few months, due to the relationship of…

This Chart Proves That Gold Bug Are Mistaken

Gold is the perennial favorite of “gold bugs”, who wrongly believe that Gold prices are driven by...

What Is The Bull Case For Bitcoin?

The fundamental bull case for investing in Bitcoin is that it is…

These Asset Classes Will Likely Be Impacted By Slowing Money Supply

This significant deceleration in money supply growth is a major concern for these asset classes, given the extreme…

Take These Actions To Profit From a Bear Market

When the technical signs of a major bear market become visible, the most profitable actions investors can make are to…

How To Predict Recessions Before They Start To Profit In Bear Markets

Inverted yield curves (where long-term interest rates are below short-term interest rates) usually lead recessions by…

Keys To Profiting In Both Bull And Bear Markets

Investors can find profitable investment opportunities in any market or economic environment by doing the following…

This Is The Most Important Determination An Investor Can Make

Based on history and our experience, the highest probability of generating strong investment returns is to make...

This Change In Margin Debt Signals Trouble Ahead

This year, margin debt growth exceeded 70% and has declined recently. The decline signals a possible shift towards…

Here Is Why Government Stimulus Doesn't Actually Stimulate The Economy

This proves that government “stimulus”, or budget deficits, do not stimulate the economy and prevent recessions…

It’s Important To Understand What Triggers The Fed To Cut Interest Rates

The stock market may be getting ahead of itself in pricing in rate cuts, unless...

Popular, Or “Crowded” ETF Trades, Are Typically Unprofitable Trades Over Time

The most crowded trade in the investment world now is…

How To Choose An Online Discount Stock Broker

There are many important criteria to focus on when choosing the best online brokerage firm for you, including…

Two Fatal Flaws Of "Buy And Hold” Investing

There are two key flaws with the “buy and hold” investment strategy. First, long-term returns are a function of…

This Is What Happens When Investor Sentiment Gets The Fundamentals Wrong

With ETF investors “all in” on “immaculate disinflation”, a “softish landing” and a “new bull market”, this looks to us like...

This One Indicator Drives Consensus Economic Thinking The Most

Main Street and Wall Street focus heavily on this indicator to determine if the economy is in a recession or an expansion…

The Math Of Long-Term Investment Returns

The general mathematical formula we use for estimating the long-term returns of an investment is…