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Investing Insights

Jon Wolfenbarger's Stock and ETF Market Commentary available on no other websiteOur most popular feature by far, Investing Insights unleashes the experienced minds of Jon and our team, sharing exclusive information & education we believe smart investors should know BEFORE risking funds in current markets. We share fresh insights at least weekly -- but sometimes more frequently -- as our proprietary economic and technically-driven models & indicators flash bull, bear, turning points, risk flags, wobbles, bubble alerts, accelerating profit opportunities and much, much more. Our members can learn a great deal from this section and it can help both grow AND preserve your nest egg. Since you won’t find these insights anywhere else on the web, we encourage you to bookmark this feature and check back often.

INFLATION WATCH  •  December 16, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger

Small Business Optimism Surges, But Inflation Accelerates As Market Breadth Weakens

SALZBURG, AUSTRIA — The economy is a continuing battle between mass psychology, Fed monetary policy and government fiscal and regulatory policy. There are a lot of cross currents going on right now.


Let’s take a look, as we try to peer into the future.



Small Businesses Are Also Excited By The “Trump Trade”

The October NFIB “Small Business Economic Trends” report showed the small business Optimism Index jumped from 93.7 in October to 101.7. This is the highest reading since June 2021. Clearly, small business owners are as excited about the Trump trade as most investors are.



Optimism



A net negative 26% reported positive profit trends over the past three months, as shown here. That is an improvement from a net negative 33% last month, but it still has a long way to go before turning positive.



earnings



A net negative 13% reported higher nominal sales in the past three months, an improvement of 7 points from October. Even more encouraging is higher expected sales over the coming three months improved from a net negative 4% in October to a net positive 14% in November, as shown here.



sales



We will see if optimism can “trump” the Fed’s most aggressive rates hikes in decades and the longest yield curve inversion since the Great Depression.



Inflation Remains High

As the chart below shows, CPI (green line) ticked up from a 2.6% increase in October to a 2.7% increase in November. Core CPI ex food and energy (purple line) held steady at 3.3%, which is up from 3.2% in July and August. On the positive side, Median CPI slowed from 4.1% to 3.9%, but that is still nearly double the Fed’s 2% target.



median CPI



Fed Chair Jay “Transitory Inflation” Powell’s favorite CPI measure is “Supercore CPI”, which is core services less housing inflation. Fortunately, this inflation measure  slowed from 4.5% in October to 4.1% in November. Unfortunately, that is still more than double Jay’s 2% target, as this chart shows.



Supercore CPI



PPI (Producer Price Inflation) accelerated from 2.6% in October to 3% in November. This is a significant acceleration from only 0.3% in June 2023. Core PPI ex food and energy ticked up from +3.4% to 3.5%, a major acceleration from the 1.8% increase in December 2023, as this chart shows. Accelerating PPI typically leads to accelerating CPI, as businesses pass along cost increases.



PPI




Stock Market Breadth Is Weakening

US stock market breadth is becoming increasingly narrow, which is a bearish warning sign. As this chart shows, the S&P 500 advance-decline spread has been negative for nine straight days. That is the longest streak in decades, even longer than any time during the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 and the 2020 covid panic. 



Advance Decline



Another sign of weakening breadth is the fact that the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index (red line) has been declining steadily the past couple of weeks and significantly underperforming the market-capitalization weighted headline S&P 500 Index (black line) .



SPXEW




Investment Implications

The improvement in small business optimism resulting from excitement over the new Trump administration is encouraging, but it will take a lot of optimism to offset the negative effects of the Fed’s tight monetary policy over the past few years. Also, with some important inflation measures accelerating, it will become increasingly difficult for the Fed to justify continued rate cuts. Perhaps these concerns are why stock market breadth has been weakening lately. Whatever happens going forward, it is likely to be interesting and provide lots of opportunities for investors to profit.








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 Previous Issues  


JOBS REPORT  •  December 9, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Jobs Report Puts Fed In A Bind

INFLATION WATCH  •  December 2, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Accelerating Inflation + Weakening Manufacturing = Record Insider Selling

LEADING INDICATORS  •  November 25, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Housing And Leading Economic Indicators Continue To Fall

STAGFLATION WATCH  •  November 18, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
“Stagflation” Signs Intensify With Weakening Economy And Accelerating Inflation

TRUMP POLICIES  •  November 11, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Trump’s Economic Playbook: What Investors Need to Know for 2025 and Beyond

JOBS AND MANUFACTURING  •  November 4, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment And Manufacturing Are Declining Even BEFORE The Election

LEADING INDICATORS WATCH  •  October 29, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Economic Index Points To Recession, While Investors Price In Perpetual Growth

HOUSING AND EARNINGS  •  October 21, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Is It Bullish For Housing And Earnings Estimates To Be Declining?

STAGFLATION WATCH  •  October 14, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation and Unemployment Claims Are Going In The Wrong Direction For The Fed

EMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  October 7, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
There Is A Bull Market In Government Jobs, But That Is Not Bullish

STAGFLATION WATCH  •  September 30, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Accelerates, Recession Signs Intensify And Investors Pile Into Stocks

FED POLICY  •  September 23, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Chair Jay “Transitory Inflation” Powell’s Latest Comedy Routine

HIGH RISK WARNING  •  September 16, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stocks Are Overvalued And Overbought With High Inflation And Recession Coming

EMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  September 9, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment Is Now Declining…So Much For A “Softish Landing”!

RECESSION WATCH  •  September 2, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Have You Seen The Latest Recession Warning Signs?

CONSUMER WATCH  •  August 26, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stressed Consumers Will Stress More As Unemployment Rises And Stocks Fall

MACRO SIGNS  •  August 19, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What Are Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Housing And NVIDIA Telling Us Now?

RECESSION WATCH  •  August 12, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Signs Abound With Stock Market Technicals Deteriorating

RECESSION WATCH  •  August 5, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Wall Street Goes From “No Landing” To “Hard Landing” In A Few Days

FED WATCH  •  July 29, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Still No Reason For Fed Rate Cuts…Except Recession

LEADING INDICATORS WATCH  •  July 22, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Disconnect Between Housing, Economy And Stocks Means Trouble

FED WATCH  •  July 15, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Investors Should Be Careful What They Wish For On Rate Cuts

JOBS WATCH  •  July 8, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment Data Says Recession May Have Already Started

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE  •  July 1, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Consumers Are Depressed And Why That Matters For Stocks

HOUSING RECESSION  •  June 24, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Housing Recession Continues As Stock Investors Are More Bullish Than Ever

EMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  June 17, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Delays Rate Cuts As Employment Data Signals Recession

EARNINGS OUTLOOK  •  June 10, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
This Is Why Earnings Will Likely Start Declining Soon

STAGFLATION WATCH  •  June 3, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What If Current “Stagflation” Turns Into An Inflationary Recession?

STOCK MARKET PEAK  •  May 27, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Watch For These Signs Of A Stock Market Peak

STAGFLATION AND FED WATCH  •  May 20, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Is Stagflation Bullish With Stock Market Near All-Time High Valuations?

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE  •  May 13, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Tapped Out Consumers Provide Clear Message About Economic And Investment Outlook

UNEMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  May 6, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Weak Jobs Report Shows Investors Continue To Focus On The Wrong Issue

GOVERNMENT DEBT  •  April 29, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What You Need to Know About The Impact Of High Government Debt On Stocks and ETFs

AI STOCKS  •  April 22, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Hawkish Fed Policy Is Punishing NVIDIA And AI Tech Stocks

INVESTOR PSYCHOLOGY  •  April 18, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Ultimate Driver Of Financial Market Prices

WARS AND UNEMPLOYMENT  •  April 15, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Wars And Job Cuts Raise Risks For Bitcoin And Stock ETFs

EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS  •  April 8, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Jobs Report Consistent With Economy Heading Into Recession

STAGFLATION WATCH  •  April 1, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Will Stubbornly High Inflation Cause Powell To Flip-Flop Once Again?

FEDSPEAK TRANSLATION  •  March 25, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Is Jay “Transitory Inflation” Powell Trying To Destroy The Fed’s Credibility?

INFLATION PROBLEM  •  March 18, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
SuperCore Inflation Accelerates With Investor Sentiment Sky High

BULL AND BEAR MARKETS  •  March 14, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Understanding Bull And Bear Market Cycles

EMPLOYMENT SIGNALS  •  March 11, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Rising Unemployment + Very Overbought Stocks = Trouble Ahead

STAGFLATION WATCH  •  March 4, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stagflation Worsens As SuperCore Inflation Accelerates And Manufacturing Weakens

HOUSING BUBBLE  •  February 26, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bursting Housing Bubble Implications For Stocks And ETFs

INFLATION INDICATORS  •  February 19, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Will Inflation And Interest Rates Rise Into A Recession?

MARKET OUTLOOK  •  February 12, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Breadth And Extreme Investor Sentiment Flash Major Warning Signs

FED WATCH  •  February 5, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Dashes Rate Cut Hopes As Banking Crisis And Employment Worsens

EARNINGS WATCH  •  January 29, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Indicators Are Leading To Falling Earnings With Valuations Sky High

MAGNIFICENT MARKET  •  January 22, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Tech Bubble 2.0 Drives Market To New Highs…Now What?

INFLATION WATCH  •  January 15, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Don’t Tell The Stock Market, But Inflation Remains Too High For Rate Cuts

EMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  January 8, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Jobs Report Flashes Major Warning Signs As Market Breadth Weakens Further

CREDIT CRUNCH  •  January 1, 2024  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Crunch, Meet Extreme Investor Bullishness And Narrow Market Breadth

RECESSION WATCH  •  December 25, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What Nike, FedEx And Leading Economic Indicators Know That Investors Do Not

FED WATCH  •  December 18, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Stops Fighting Inflation As They Prepare For Recession

EMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  December 11, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Unemployment Rate Signals A Recession Has Likely Begun

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  December 4, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Investors Are Ignoring This Key Recession Indicator At Their Peril

INVESTOR PSYCHOLOGY  •  November 27, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Investor Complacency At Highest Levels Since Early 2020 In The Face Of Recession

MACRO OUTLOOK  •  November 20, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Wall Street’s Next — And Bigger — Fear Will Not Be Inflation

CREDIT WATCH  •  November 13, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Crunch Drives Manufacturing Into Recession

RECESSION TIMING  •  November 6, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
2 Indicators Show Recession Is Much Closer Than Wall Street Expects

EMPLOYMENT WATCH  •  October 30, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Proven Leading Indicators Point To Rising Unemployment Coming Soon

LEADING INDICATORS  •  October 23, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Economic Indexes And CEOs Are Predicting Recession

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  October 16, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Jamie Dimon Is Right And Paul Krugman Is Wrong

INFLATION IMPACT  •  October 9, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Remains Well Above Fed’s Target As Stocks Break Support

BEAR MARKET WATCH  •  October 2, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What The 50% Collapse In Bond Prices Means For The Stock Market

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  September 25, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Jay “Wronger For Longer” Powell Talks Tough In The Face Of A Recession

STAGFLATION SIGNS  •  September 18, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Accelerates And Stocks Break Down As Yellen Dreams Of A Softish Landing

RED FLAGS  •  September 11, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Warning Signs From 2 Key Economic Indicators And FANG+ Stocks

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK  •  September 4, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation And Unemployment Take A Turn For The Worse

FED WATCH  •  August 28, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Forced To Keep Raising Rates Into Recession With Inflation Accelerating

BEAR MARKET WATCH  •  August 21, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bear Market Resumes As Recession Looms

FED POLICY  •  August 14, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Eliminate The Boom-Bust Business Cycle

CREDIT AND HOUSING  •  August 7, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bank Credit, Housing And Manufacturing Are Shouting “Recession!”

RECESSION RISK  •  July 31, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Investors Ignore Rising Recession Risk As Optimism Hits New Highs

STOCK MARKET WATCH  •  July 24, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What The Stock Market And Investor Sentiment Is Telling Us Now

MARKET OUTLOOK  •  July 17, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Slowing Inflation Is Bullish For Stocks...Or Is It?

FED POLICY  •  July 10, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
5 Ways The Fed Has Made The Economy Worse

INFLATIONARY RECESSION WATCH  •  July 3, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Remains Well Above Fed’s Target As Recession Timing Nears

BEAR MARKET RISK  •  June 26, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Looming + Bearish Stock Market Breadth = New Lows To Come

FED WATCH  •  June 19, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Fed’s 110-Year Track Record of Bureaucratic Central Planning

RECESSION WATCH  •  June 12, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Signs A Recession May Have Already Started

STOCK MARKET INDICATORS  •  June 5, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Stock Market Rally Is On Shaky Ground

FED WATCH  •  May 30, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Accelerating Inflation Is Pressuring Fed To Keep Hiking Rates

WARNING SIGNS  •  May 23, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Economic Indicators And Market Internals Are Flashing Red

RECESSION WATCH  •  May 16, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Jay “Softish Landing” Powell Will Also Be Wrong About Recession

US DEBT CRISIS  •  May 8, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Will The US Government Default On Its Debt This Year?

MARKET OUTLOOK  •  May 1, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Two Key Factors Preventing A New Bull Market

LEADING INDICATORS  •  April 22, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Signals Intensify As Bear Market Rally Fades

FED WATCH  •  April 16, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation STILL Remains High, Forcing The Fed To Tighten Into A Recession Even They Expect

RECESSION WATCH  •  April 9, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
7 Signs Employment Is Weakening With Manufacturing In A Recession

BEAR MARKET INDICATORS  •  April 2, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Is This Just Another Bear Market Rally?

BEAR MARKET WATCH  •  March 23, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What Could Go Wrong With Fed Tightening Into A Banking Crisis And Recession?

BANKING CRISIS  •  March 13, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Banking Crisis Implications For Investors And The “Softish Landing” Dream

RISING INTEREST RATES  •  March 3, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Do Investors Understand What Happens When Interest Rates Rise?

RECESSION WATCH  •  February 26, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
8 Stages Of Recession Point To Crash Landing, Not “Softish Landing” (Part 2)

RECESSION WATCH  •  February 22, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
8 Stages Of Recession Point To Crash Landing, Not “Softish Landing” (Part 1)

EARNINGS OUTLOOK  •  February 12, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Wall Street Bullishness Unfazed By Recessionary Earnings Outlook

MARKET OUTLOOK  •  February 2, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Powell Fuels Stock Rally With Hopes For A “Softish Landing”

RECESSION WATCH  •  January 26, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Card Crisis Coming As Layoffs Mount (Part 2)

RECESSION WATCH  •  January 22, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Card Crisis Coming As Layoffs Mount (Part 1)

INFLATION WATCH  •  January 12, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Headline Inflation Slowed, But High Underlying Inflation Keeps Fed Tightening

RECESSION WATCH  •  January 4, 2023  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Money Supply And Manufacturing Declines Add Fuel To The Bear Market Fire

STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK  •  December 27, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Can Investors Handle The Truth…About Stock Market Downside Potential?

BEAR MARKET SELLOFF  •  December 18, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Powell “Pivot” To “Pain” Kicks Off Next Major Bear Market Selloff

RECESSION WATCH  •  December 12, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Signs Abound As Market Rally Peaks

INFLATION RISK  •  December 7, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Likely Forced To Fight High Inflation For Many Years To Come

BEAR MARKET UPDATE  •  November 29, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bullish Sentiment Signals Major Stock Selloff Likely Coming Soon

EARNINGS ESTIMATES  •  November 19, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Prepare For The Coming Collapse In Wall Street Earnings Estimates

BEAR MARKET RALLY  •  November 11, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation “Beat” Causes Investors To Forget The 4 Most Dangerous Words In Investing

BEAR MARKET DURATION  •  November 3, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How Long Will This Bear Market And Recession Last?

BEAR MARKET LOSSES  •  October 25, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
3 Ways To Estimate Stock Bear Market Downside Potential

INFLATIONARY BEAR MARKET  •  October 17, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Accelerating Inflation Creates Stock Bear Market Opportunities

BEAR MARKET INDICATORS  •  October 9, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Is The Stock Market About To Crash?

GOVERNMENT DEBT WATCH  •  October 3, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The US Government Is Heading Toward A Major Debt Crisis

BEAR MARKET INTENSIFIES  •  September 24, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Fed Pivots To Even More “Pain” For Stocks And The Economy

FED WATCH  •  September 14, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
High Inflation Continues To Force Fed To Cause “Pain”

COMMODITIES  •  September 5, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Oil And Commodities Bear Market Is Likely Just Beginning

RECESSION WATCH  •  August 28, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Powell’s “Pivot” And The Top 10 Signs Of An Impending Recession

HOUSING WATCH  •  August 17, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Housing Bear Market Will Help Cause Great Recession 2.0

BEAR MARKET WATCH  •  August 9, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why The Next Major Bear Market Selloff Is Likely Coming Soon

RECESSION WATCH  •  July 31, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Rate Hike + Negative GDP = Stock Market Rally

BEAR MARKET WATCH  •  July 22, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
It’s Like 2008 All Over Again, But Likely Worse

BEAR MARKET RISK  •  July 13, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Here Is Why Stocks Will Likely Fall Another 40%+

DISINFLATION TREND  •  July 5, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
From Inflation To Disinflation: Impact On Stocks, Bonds, Commodities And Bitcoin

COMMODITIES WATCH  •  June 27, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Is The Commodities Bull Market Over? See What This Key Indicator Is Telling Us Now

RECESSION WATCH  •  June 23, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Here Comes Another Recession, Thanks To The Fed

BEAR MARKET TECHNICALS  •  June 19, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Spot Stock Bear Market Selloffs And Rallies

BULL VS BEAR  •  June 9, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Three Key Reasons This Is A Bear Market Rally, Not A New Bull Market

INVESTING RISKS  •  June 1, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Biggest Risk Investors Face In Coming Years

RECESSION SIGNS  •  May 23, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Central Planning Disaster…The Fed Is Hiking Rates Into A Recession

BULL VS BEAR  •  May 15, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
3 Reasons Bear Market Rally Could Continue, Despite Recessionary Signs

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  May 7, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bear Market Rules Apply…Sell The Rallies Instead Of Buying The Dips

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  April 28, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
This Is Not Your Father’s Stock Bear Market

BONDS AND COMMODITIES  •  April 21, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Outlook For Bond And Commodity ETFs In The Coming Recession

SECTOR TRENDS  •  April 12, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Sector Performance Is Warning Us About The Market’s Direction

FED WATCH  •  April 8, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Can The Fed Predict Anything?

RECESSION WATCH  •  April 4, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession And Bear Market Countdown Has Started

FED WATCH  •  April 1, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Fed Can’t Control The Economy, But They Do Lower Living Standards

LONG-TERM RETURNS  •  March 27, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Will The Stock Market Really Be 50%+ LOWER In 12 Years?

BULL VS BEAR  •  March 20, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Strong Stock Rally Last Week, But Evidence Remains Bearish

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  March 10, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Objective Signs A Stock Bear Market Is Starting -- How To Profit Instead Of Lose

ETF TRENDS  •  March 2, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
War Is Helping Fuel The Commodity ETF Bull Market

BEAR MARKET SIGNS  •  February 21, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Warning: Widespread Shift To Bearishness Across Most Stocks And ETFs

SECTOR TRENDS  •  February 17, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Best And Worst Stock Sector ETFs

PROFIT FROM INFLATION  •  February 9, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Profit From Inflation With ETFs

INTEREST RATES AND STOCKS  •  February 1, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Proof That Major Stock Bear Markets Can Start Without Rising Interest Rates

BULL VS BEAR  •  January 24, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Crashing: Bull Market Correction Or Bear Market Beginning?

FED WATCH  •  January 18, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What Fed Rate Hikes Can Do To Stocks And ETFs In 2022

STOCK MARKET INDICATORS  •  January 8, 2022  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Rough Start To The Year Is Not Encouraging For Most Stocks And ETFs

LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS  •  December 31, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
2022 Perfect Storm: Global Slowdown + Fed Tightening?

SECTOR TRENDS  •  December 20, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Best And Worst Stock Sector ETFs For Long-Term Trend And Short-Term Trade

ASSET TRENDS  •  December 13, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Best and Worst ETFs For Long-Term Trend and Short-Term Trade

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  December 5, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Holiday Sales Continue On Stocks and “Risk-On” ETFs

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  November 27, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
“Red Friday” Sale On Stocks And Most ETFs

FED WATCH  •  November 19, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Market Says Interest Rate Hikes Are Coming, Whether The Fed Likes It Or Not

COMMODITIES  •  November 11, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Commodities Are The Only Major ETF Asset Class With Attractive Long-Term Returns

BULL VS BEAR  •  November 4, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bull Market Continues, But Stocks Will Likely Be 50%+ Lower In 12 Years!

BEATING THE MARKET  •  October 26, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Mutual Funds Don’t Work

CRYPTOCURRENCIES  •  October 19, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bull Case For Bitcoin ETFs — And The Best One To Buy Now

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  October 11, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Stock Market Is Weakening More Than Most Stock And ETF Investors Realize

BEAR MARKET PROFITS  •  September 30, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Trade ETFs To Maximize Bear Market Profits

BEAR MARKET PROFITS  •  September 22, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Identify Bear Markets With ETFs And Basic Technical Analysis

BEAR MARKET PROFITS  •  September 19, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Make Money -- Instead Of Lose Money -- In A Stock Bear Market

ETF STRATEGY  •  September 16, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Proof That ETF Strategies Using Technical Analysis Significantly Beat “Buy And Hold” Investing

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  September 10, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Good News And Bad News For Stocks And Stock ETFs On Three Different Time Frames

BEATING THE MARKET  •  September 1, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Three Ways To Beat The Market With Stocks And ETFs

BEAR MARKET RISK  •  August 28, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Here’s Why The Next Stock Bear Market Will Likely Be The Worst Since The Great Depression

ETF TRENDS  •  August 26, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
These Popular ETF “Inflation Hedges” Are Now Moving In Opposite Directions

ETF STRATEGY  •  August 24, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What Smart ETF Investors Need To Understand About Bitcoin, Gold and Stocks

SECTOR ETFS  •  August 19, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Sector ETFs With The Best and Worst Earnings Growth In 2021 and 2022

ECONOMICS 101  •  August 12, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment Remains At Recessionary Levels, Thanks To Government Subsidies

MONEY MISCHIEF  •  August 9, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Wise ETF And Stock Investors Focus On Money Supply, Not Employment

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  August 7, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Bonds, Gold and Silver ETFs Are All In Bear Markets

MONEY MISCHIEF  •  July 31, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Commodity Stocks and ETFs At Risk As Money Supply and Industrial Production Growth Slows

STOCK MARKET TREND  •  July 24, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact, But Four Key Indicators Show Cracks Below The Surface

STOCK MARKET SENTIMENT  •  July 20, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Is Flashing Danger Signs

STOCK MARKET WARNING  •  July 14, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Investor Warning: US Stock Market Is Most Overvalued In History!

ASSET TRENDS  •  July 9, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What Major Asset (and ETF) SURPRISINGLY Has The Most Bearish Trend Right Now?

INFLATION DANGERS  •  June 30, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
3 Reasons ETF And Stock Investors Must Prepare To Profit From Rising Inflationary Pressures

DEBT DANGERS  •  June 23, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
The Government Debt Bomb Could Decimate Stock And ETF Investors Who Are Not Prepared

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  June 15, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
What This Proven Indicator Is Telling Us About The Stock Market And Economic Trend

BOOM AND BUST INDICATORS  •  June 1, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Use The Yield Curve To Profit From Booms And Busts

CREATING WEALTH  •  May 25, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Achieve Financial Freedom By Investing In ETFs And Stocks

FREE MARKET INSIGHTS  •  May 19, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How Successful Stock And ETF Investing Benefits Society By Creating Wealth

CRYPTOCURRENCIES  •  May 13, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Trader Alert: 5 Bitcoin Bear Market Sell Signals

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  May 6, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Profit More Than Buy And Hold Investing

BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS  •  April 30, 2021  •  Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Smart Stock Traders Always Use The 250-Day Moving Average