Investing Insights
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MANUFACTURING WATCH • January 6, 2025 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Trump Trade Fizzles As Manufacturing Weakens And Inflation Accelerates
MUNICH, GERMANY — The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) fell slightly from 49.7 in November to 49.4 in December. Readings below the neutral 50 level indicate contraction in US manufacturing activity. As shown in this chart, the PMI has been around or below the neutral 50 level for the past couple of years.
This was the sixth consecutive month of weaker manufacturing trends. Production fell for the fifth straight month and it was the fastest rate of contraction in 18 months. The leading new orders component of the PMI also declined at a faster pace. New export orders were down, with Europe and Australia reporting weaker demand. As a result, manufacturers pulled back on purchasing activity and inventories.
Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, explained the weak manufacturing trends:
"US factories reported a tough end to 2024, and have scaled back their optimism for growth in the year ahead. Production was cut at an increased rate in December amid disappointing inflows of new orders. While November had seen a near-stabilization of order books as uncertainty surrounding the election passed, reviving customer demand, this respite has proved temporary. Factories are reporting an environment of subdued sales and inquiries, notably in terms of exports.”
Manufacturers’ Sentiment Weakens On Accelerating Inflation
After rising in November over the Trump election win, manufacturers’ sentiment fell back in December and was the lowest since August. This was due to a much higher rise in input costs, including higher supplier charges and rising raw materials costs, which increased at the fastest pace since August. This forced manufacturers to raise their selling prices again to a three-month high. As shown below, both input and output prices have been accelerating for over a year.
As Williamson noted:
“Many firms are generally anticipating that business will pick up in the New Year, with respondents pinning hopes on expectations that the new administration will loosen regulations, reduce tax burdens and boost demand for US-made goods via tariffs. Confidence has consequently risen from a low-point last June, having jumped higher in November on the election result. However, this optimism has been pared back somewhat in December, as firms are now reporting worries over higher input prices, and are concerned that inflation may pick up again, adding to speculation that interest rates will not be cut as much as previously thought likely over the coming year.”
At Least The US Is Not As Weak As Europe
Europe manufacturing trends are even weaker than the US. The HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI fell slightly to 45.1 in December, a three-month low, while the Output Index fell to a 14-month low of 44.3. As shown below, the Eurozone PMI and Output Index have been contracting for two-and-a-half years.
Both new orders and output fell at an accelerating rate and there were deep cuts in purchasing activity and inventories. Factory employment continued its downward trend of the past 18 months. The PMIs of the three major Eurozone countries of Germany, France and Italy all declined. The France PMI of 41.9 was the lowest since the covid panic era of May 2020.
Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, described the gloomy Eurozone manufacturing trends:
“Even in December, the manufacturing sector is not delivering any holiday cheer. It is the same old story – downward. New orders have dropped even more than in the previous two months, crushing any hopes for a quick recovery. This view is backed by the accelerated decline in order backlogs. A sign of the industry's recovery will be when companies start rebuilding their inventories of intermediate goods, but December showed no signs of this happening. Instead, inventories were reduced at a very fast rate again. Companies also sped up the depletion of their finished goods inventories, clearly expecting continued weak demand. Manufacturers are still cutting jobs. Although the pace of job trimming slowed slightly in December, it is still relatively high, and this trend is likely to continue well into the new year given all the news about companies restructuring."
Investment Implications
Declining manufacturing demand and accelerating input and output prices are further evidence of a “stagflationary” environment. The world’s three major economies — US, Europe and China — are all weak and inflation is rising. We believe this is bearish for stocks and other risk assets and bullish for gold, silver and mining stocks.
BUBBLE WATCH • December 30, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bubble Conditions Like This For Housing And Stocks Do Not End Well
STOCK MARKET BREADTH • December 23, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Key Stock Market Indicator Breaks Support As Economic Data Remains Weak
INFLATION WATCH • December 16, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Small Business Optimism Surges, But Inflation Accelerates As Market Breadth Weakens
JOBS REPORT • December 9, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Jobs Report Puts Fed In A Bind
INFLATION WATCH • December 2, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Accelerating Inflation + Weakening Manufacturing = Record Insider Selling
LEADING INDICATORS • November 25, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Housing And Leading Economic Indicators Continue To Fall
STAGFLATION WATCH • November 18, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
“Stagflation” Signs Intensify With Weakening Economy And Accelerating Inflation
TRUMP POLICIES • November 11, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Trump’s Economic Playbook: What Investors Need to Know for 2025 and Beyond
JOBS AND MANUFACTURING • November 4, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment And Manufacturing Are Declining Even BEFORE The Election
LEADING INDICATORS WATCH • October 29, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Economic Index Points To Recession, While Investors Price In Perpetual Growth
HOUSING AND EARNINGS • October 21, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Is It Bullish For Housing And Earnings Estimates To Be Declining?
STAGFLATION WATCH • October 14, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation and Unemployment Claims Are Going In The Wrong Direction For The Fed
EMPLOYMENT WATCH • October 7, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
There Is A Bull Market In Government Jobs, But That Is Not Bullish
STAGFLATION WATCH • September 30, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Accelerates, Recession Signs Intensify And Investors Pile Into Stocks
FED POLICY • September 23, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Chair Jay “Transitory Inflation” Powell’s Latest Comedy Routine
HIGH RISK WARNING • September 16, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stocks Are Overvalued And Overbought With High Inflation And Recession Coming
EMPLOYMENT WATCH • September 9, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment Is Now Declining…So Much For A “Softish Landing”!
RECESSION WATCH • September 2, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Have You Seen The Latest Recession Warning Signs?
CONSUMER WATCH • August 26, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stressed Consumers Will Stress More As Unemployment Rises And Stocks Fall
MACRO SIGNS • August 19, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What Are Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Housing And NVIDIA Telling Us Now?
RECESSION WATCH • August 12, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Signs Abound With Stock Market Technicals Deteriorating
RECESSION WATCH • August 5, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Wall Street Goes From “No Landing” To “Hard Landing” In A Few Days
FED WATCH • July 29, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Still No Reason For Fed Rate Cuts…Except Recession
LEADING INDICATORS WATCH • July 22, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Disconnect Between Housing, Economy And Stocks Means Trouble
FED WATCH • July 15, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Investors Should Be Careful What They Wish For On Rate Cuts
JOBS WATCH • July 8, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment Data Says Recession May Have Already Started
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE • July 1, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Consumers Are Depressed And Why That Matters For Stocks
HOUSING RECESSION • June 24, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Housing Recession Continues As Stock Investors Are More Bullish Than Ever
EMPLOYMENT WATCH • June 17, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Delays Rate Cuts As Employment Data Signals Recession
EARNINGS OUTLOOK • June 10, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
This Is Why Earnings Will Likely Start Declining Soon
STAGFLATION WATCH • June 3, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What If Current “Stagflation” Turns Into An Inflationary Recession?
STOCK MARKET PEAK • May 27, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Watch For These Signs Of A Stock Market Peak
STAGFLATION AND FED WATCH • May 20, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Is Stagflation Bullish With Stock Market Near All-Time High Valuations?
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE • May 13, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Tapped Out Consumers Provide Clear Message About Economic And Investment Outlook
UNEMPLOYMENT WATCH • May 6, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Weak Jobs Report Shows Investors Continue To Focus On The Wrong Issue
GOVERNMENT DEBT • April 29, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What You Need to Know About The Impact Of High Government Debt On Stocks and ETFs
AI STOCKS • April 22, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Hawkish Fed Policy Is Punishing NVIDIA And AI Tech Stocks
INVESTOR PSYCHOLOGY • April 18, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Ultimate Driver Of Financial Market Prices
WARS AND UNEMPLOYMENT • April 15, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Wars And Job Cuts Raise Risks For Bitcoin And Stock ETFs
EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS • April 8, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Jobs Report Consistent With Economy Heading Into Recession
STAGFLATION WATCH • April 1, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Will Stubbornly High Inflation Cause Powell To Flip-Flop Once Again?
FEDSPEAK TRANSLATION • March 25, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Is Jay “Transitory Inflation” Powell Trying To Destroy The Fed’s Credibility?
INFLATION PROBLEM • March 18, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
SuperCore Inflation Accelerates With Investor Sentiment Sky High
BULL AND BEAR MARKETS • March 14, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Understanding Bull And Bear Market Cycles
EMPLOYMENT SIGNALS • March 11, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Rising Unemployment + Very Overbought Stocks = Trouble Ahead
STAGFLATION WATCH • March 4, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stagflation Worsens As SuperCore Inflation Accelerates And Manufacturing Weakens
HOUSING BUBBLE • February 26, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bursting Housing Bubble Implications For Stocks And ETFs
INFLATION INDICATORS • February 19, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Will Inflation And Interest Rates Rise Into A Recession?
MARKET OUTLOOK • February 12, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Breadth And Extreme Investor Sentiment Flash Major Warning Signs
FED WATCH • February 5, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Dashes Rate Cut Hopes As Banking Crisis And Employment Worsens
EARNINGS WATCH • January 29, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Indicators Are Leading To Falling Earnings With Valuations Sky High
MAGNIFICENT MARKET • January 22, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Tech Bubble 2.0 Drives Market To New Highs…Now What?
INFLATION WATCH • January 15, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Don’t Tell The Stock Market, But Inflation Remains Too High For Rate Cuts
EMPLOYMENT WATCH • January 8, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Jobs Report Flashes Major Warning Signs As Market Breadth Weakens Further
CREDIT CRUNCH • January 1, 2024 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Crunch, Meet Extreme Investor Bullishness And Narrow Market Breadth
RECESSION WATCH • December 25, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What Nike, FedEx And Leading Economic Indicators Know That Investors Do Not
FED WATCH • December 18, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Stops Fighting Inflation As They Prepare For Recession
EMPLOYMENT WATCH • December 11, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Unemployment Rate Signals A Recession Has Likely Begun
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • December 4, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Investors Are Ignoring This Key Recession Indicator At Their Peril
INVESTOR PSYCHOLOGY • November 27, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Investor Complacency At Highest Levels Since Early 2020 In The Face Of Recession
MACRO OUTLOOK • November 20, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Wall Street’s Next — And Bigger — Fear Will Not Be Inflation
CREDIT WATCH • November 13, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Crunch Drives Manufacturing Into Recession
RECESSION TIMING • November 6, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
2 Indicators Show Recession Is Much Closer Than Wall Street Expects
EMPLOYMENT WATCH • October 30, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Proven Leading Indicators Point To Rising Unemployment Coming Soon
LEADING INDICATORS • October 23, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Economic Indexes And CEOs Are Predicting Recession
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • October 16, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Jamie Dimon Is Right And Paul Krugman Is Wrong
INFLATION IMPACT • October 9, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Remains Well Above Fed’s Target As Stocks Break Support
BEAR MARKET WATCH • October 2, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What The 50% Collapse In Bond Prices Means For The Stock Market
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • September 25, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Jay “Wronger For Longer” Powell Talks Tough In The Face Of A Recession
STAGFLATION SIGNS • September 18, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Accelerates And Stocks Break Down As Yellen Dreams Of A Softish Landing
RED FLAGS • September 11, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Warning Signs From 2 Key Economic Indicators And FANG+ Stocks
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK • September 4, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation And Unemployment Take A Turn For The Worse
FED WATCH • August 28, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Forced To Keep Raising Rates Into Recession With Inflation Accelerating
BEAR MARKET WATCH • August 21, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bear Market Resumes As Recession Looms
FED POLICY • August 14, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Eliminate The Boom-Bust Business Cycle
CREDIT AND HOUSING • August 7, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bank Credit, Housing And Manufacturing Are Shouting “Recession!”
RECESSION RISK • July 31, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Investors Ignore Rising Recession Risk As Optimism Hits New Highs
STOCK MARKET WATCH • July 24, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What The Stock Market And Investor Sentiment Is Telling Us Now
MARKET OUTLOOK • July 17, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Slowing Inflation Is Bullish For Stocks...Or Is It?
FED POLICY • July 10, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
5 Ways The Fed Has Made The Economy Worse
INFLATIONARY RECESSION WATCH • July 3, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation Remains Well Above Fed’s Target As Recession Timing Nears
BEAR MARKET RISK • June 26, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Looming + Bearish Stock Market Breadth = New Lows To Come
FED WATCH • June 19, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Fed’s 110-Year Track Record of Bureaucratic Central Planning
RECESSION WATCH • June 12, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Signs A Recession May Have Already Started
STOCK MARKET INDICATORS • June 5, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Stock Market Rally Is On Shaky Ground
FED WATCH • May 30, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Accelerating Inflation Is Pressuring Fed To Keep Hiking Rates
WARNING SIGNS • May 23, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Leading Economic Indicators And Market Internals Are Flashing Red
RECESSION WATCH • May 16, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Jay “Softish Landing” Powell Will Also Be Wrong About Recession
US DEBT CRISIS • May 8, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Will The US Government Default On Its Debt This Year?
MARKET OUTLOOK • May 1, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Two Key Factors Preventing A New Bull Market
LEADING INDICATORS • April 22, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Signals Intensify As Bear Market Rally Fades
FED WATCH • April 16, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation STILL Remains High, Forcing The Fed To Tighten Into A Recession Even They Expect
RECESSION WATCH • April 9, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
7 Signs Employment Is Weakening With Manufacturing In A Recession
BEAR MARKET INDICATORS • April 2, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Is This Just Another Bear Market Rally?
BEAR MARKET WATCH • March 23, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What Could Go Wrong With Fed Tightening Into A Banking Crisis And Recession?
BANKING CRISIS • March 13, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Banking Crisis Implications For Investors And The “Softish Landing” Dream
RISING INTEREST RATES • March 3, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Do Investors Understand What Happens When Interest Rates Rise?
RECESSION WATCH • February 26, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
8 Stages Of Recession Point To Crash Landing, Not “Softish Landing” (Part 2)
RECESSION WATCH • February 22, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
8 Stages Of Recession Point To Crash Landing, Not “Softish Landing” (Part 1)
EARNINGS OUTLOOK • February 12, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Wall Street Bullishness Unfazed By Recessionary Earnings Outlook
MARKET OUTLOOK • February 2, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Powell Fuels Stock Rally With Hopes For A “Softish Landing”
RECESSION WATCH • January 26, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Card Crisis Coming As Layoffs Mount (Part 2)
RECESSION WATCH • January 22, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Credit Card Crisis Coming As Layoffs Mount (Part 1)
INFLATION WATCH • January 12, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Headline Inflation Slowed, But High Underlying Inflation Keeps Fed Tightening
RECESSION WATCH • January 4, 2023 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Money Supply And Manufacturing Declines Add Fuel To The Bear Market Fire
STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK • December 27, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Can Investors Handle The Truth…About Stock Market Downside Potential?
BEAR MARKET SELLOFF • December 18, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Powell “Pivot” To “Pain” Kicks Off Next Major Bear Market Selloff
RECESSION WATCH • December 12, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession Signs Abound As Market Rally Peaks
INFLATION RISK • December 7, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Likely Forced To Fight High Inflation For Many Years To Come
BEAR MARKET UPDATE • November 29, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bullish Sentiment Signals Major Stock Selloff Likely Coming Soon
EARNINGS ESTIMATES • November 19, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Prepare For The Coming Collapse In Wall Street Earnings Estimates
BEAR MARKET RALLY • November 11, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Inflation “Beat” Causes Investors To Forget The 4 Most Dangerous Words In Investing
BEAR MARKET DURATION • November 3, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How Long Will This Bear Market And Recession Last?
BEAR MARKET LOSSES • October 25, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
3 Ways To Estimate Stock Bear Market Downside Potential
INFLATIONARY BEAR MARKET • October 17, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Accelerating Inflation Creates Stock Bear Market Opportunities
BEAR MARKET INDICATORS • October 9, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Is The Stock Market About To Crash?
GOVERNMENT DEBT WATCH • October 3, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The US Government Is Heading Toward A Major Debt Crisis
BEAR MARKET INTENSIFIES • September 24, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Fed Pivots To Even More “Pain” For Stocks And The Economy
FED WATCH • September 14, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
High Inflation Continues To Force Fed To Cause “Pain”
COMMODITIES • September 5, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Oil And Commodities Bear Market Is Likely Just Beginning
RECESSION WATCH • August 28, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Powell’s “Pivot” And The Top 10 Signs Of An Impending Recession
HOUSING WATCH • August 17, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Housing Bear Market Will Help Cause Great Recession 2.0
BEAR MARKET WATCH • August 9, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why The Next Major Bear Market Selloff Is Likely Coming Soon
RECESSION WATCH • July 31, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Fed Rate Hike + Negative GDP = Stock Market Rally
BEAR MARKET WATCH • July 22, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
It’s Like 2008 All Over Again, But Likely Worse
BEAR MARKET RISK • July 13, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Here Is Why Stocks Will Likely Fall Another 40%+
DISINFLATION TREND • July 5, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
From Inflation To Disinflation: Impact On Stocks, Bonds, Commodities And Bitcoin
COMMODITIES WATCH • June 27, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Is The Commodities Bull Market Over? See What This Key Indicator Is Telling Us Now
RECESSION WATCH • June 23, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Here Comes Another Recession, Thanks To The Fed
BEAR MARKET TECHNICALS • June 19, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Spot Stock Bear Market Selloffs And Rallies
BULL VS BEAR • June 9, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Three Key Reasons This Is A Bear Market Rally, Not A New Bull Market
INVESTING RISKS • June 1, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Biggest Risk Investors Face In Coming Years
RECESSION SIGNS • May 23, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Central Planning Disaster…The Fed Is Hiking Rates Into A Recession
BULL VS BEAR • May 15, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
3 Reasons Bear Market Rally Could Continue, Despite Recessionary Signs
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • May 7, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bear Market Rules Apply…Sell The Rallies Instead Of Buying The Dips
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • April 28, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
This Is Not Your Father’s Stock Bear Market
BONDS AND COMMODITIES • April 21, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Outlook For Bond And Commodity ETFs In The Coming Recession
SECTOR TRENDS • April 12, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Sector Performance Is Warning Us About The Market’s Direction
FED WATCH • April 8, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Can The Fed Predict Anything?
RECESSION WATCH • April 4, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Recession And Bear Market Countdown Has Started
FED WATCH • April 1, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Fed Can’t Control The Economy, But They Do Lower Living Standards
LONG-TERM RETURNS • March 27, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Will The Stock Market Really Be 50%+ LOWER In 12 Years?
BULL VS BEAR • March 20, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Strong Stock Rally Last Week, But Evidence Remains Bearish
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • March 10, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Objective Signs A Stock Bear Market Is Starting -- How To Profit Instead Of Lose
ETF TRENDS • March 2, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
War Is Helping Fuel The Commodity ETF Bull Market
BEAR MARKET SIGNS • February 21, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Warning: Widespread Shift To Bearishness Across Most Stocks And ETFs
SECTOR TRENDS • February 17, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Best And Worst Stock Sector ETFs
PROFIT FROM INFLATION • February 9, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Profit From Inflation With ETFs
INTEREST RATES AND STOCKS • February 1, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Proof That Major Stock Bear Markets Can Start Without Rising Interest Rates
BULL VS BEAR • January 24, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Crashing: Bull Market Correction Or Bear Market Beginning?
FED WATCH • January 18, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What Fed Rate Hikes Can Do To Stocks And ETFs In 2022
STOCK MARKET INDICATORS • January 8, 2022 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Rough Start To The Year Is Not Encouraging For Most Stocks And ETFs
LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS • December 31, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
2022 Perfect Storm: Global Slowdown + Fed Tightening?
SECTOR TRENDS • December 20, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Best And Worst Stock Sector ETFs For Long-Term Trend And Short-Term Trade
ASSET TRENDS • December 13, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Current Best and Worst ETFs For Long-Term Trend and Short-Term Trade
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • December 5, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Holiday Sales Continue On Stocks and “Risk-On” ETFs
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • November 27, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
“Red Friday” Sale On Stocks And Most ETFs
FED WATCH • November 19, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Market Says Interest Rate Hikes Are Coming, Whether The Fed Likes It Or Not
COMMODITIES • November 11, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Commodities Are The Only Major ETF Asset Class With Attractive Long-Term Returns
BULL VS BEAR • November 4, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bull Market Continues, But Stocks Will Likely Be 50%+ Lower In 12 Years!
BEATING THE MARKET • October 26, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Mutual Funds Don’t Work
CRYPTOCURRENCIES • October 19, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bull Case For Bitcoin ETFs — And The Best One To Buy Now
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • October 11, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Stock Market Is Weakening More Than Most Stock And ETF Investors Realize
BEAR MARKET PROFITS • September 30, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Trade ETFs To Maximize Bear Market Profits
BEAR MARKET PROFITS • September 22, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Identify Bear Markets With ETFs And Basic Technical Analysis
BEAR MARKET PROFITS • September 19, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Make Money -- Instead Of Lose Money -- In A Stock Bear Market
ETF STRATEGY • September 16, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Proof That ETF Strategies Using Technical Analysis Significantly Beat “Buy And Hold” Investing
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • September 10, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Good News And Bad News For Stocks And Stock ETFs On Three Different Time Frames
BEATING THE MARKET • September 1, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Three Ways To Beat The Market With Stocks And ETFs
BEAR MARKET RISK • August 28, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Here’s Why The Next Stock Bear Market Will Likely Be The Worst Since The Great Depression
ETF TRENDS • August 26, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
These Popular ETF “Inflation Hedges” Are Now Moving In Opposite Directions
ETF STRATEGY • August 24, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What Smart ETF Investors Need To Understand About Bitcoin, Gold and Stocks
SECTOR ETFS • August 19, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Sector ETFs With The Best and Worst Earnings Growth In 2021 and 2022
ECONOMICS 101 • August 12, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Employment Remains At Recessionary Levels, Thanks To Government Subsidies
MONEY MISCHIEF • August 9, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Wise ETF And Stock Investors Focus On Money Supply, Not Employment
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • August 7, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Bonds, Gold and Silver ETFs Are All In Bear Markets
MONEY MISCHIEF • July 31, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Commodity Stocks and ETFs At Risk As Money Supply and Industrial Production Growth Slows
STOCK MARKET TREND • July 24, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact, But Four Key Indicators Show Cracks Below The Surface
STOCK MARKET SENTIMENT • July 20, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Is Flashing Danger Signs
STOCK MARKET WARNING • July 14, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Investor Warning: US Stock Market Is Most Overvalued In History!
ASSET TRENDS • July 9, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What Major Asset (and ETF) SURPRISINGLY Has The Most Bearish Trend Right Now?
INFLATION DANGERS • June 30, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
3 Reasons ETF And Stock Investors Must Prepare To Profit From Rising Inflationary Pressures
DEBT DANGERS • June 23, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
The Government Debt Bomb Could Decimate Stock And ETF Investors Who Are Not Prepared
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • June 15, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
What This Proven Indicator Is Telling Us About The Stock Market And Economic Trend
BOOM AND BUST INDICATORS • June 1, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Use The Yield Curve To Profit From Booms And Busts
CREATING WEALTH • May 25, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Achieve Financial Freedom By Investing In ETFs And Stocks
FREE MARKET INSIGHTS • May 19, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How Successful Stock And ETF Investing Benefits Society By Creating Wealth
CRYPTOCURRENCIES • May 13, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Trader Alert: 5 Bitcoin Bear Market Sell Signals
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • May 6, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
How To Profit More Than Buy And Hold Investing
BULL AND BEAR TECHNICALS • April 30, 2021 • Jon Wolfenbarger
Why Smart Stock Traders Always Use The 250-Day Moving Average